TROPICAL OUTLOOK...STORM INVESTIGATIONS...

 

096 
ABNT20 KNHC 112324
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the 
central Atlantic Ocean.  The National Hurricane Center is also 
issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Nineteen, 
located near southern Florida.

A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing 
disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  Some slow 
development of this system is possible while it moves 
westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf 
of Mexico through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles 
south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large 
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Development of 
this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to 
form within the next couple of days while the system moves 
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, 
is located just off of the west coast of Africa.  Environmental 
conditions could support development during the next few days, and 
a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical 
Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward.  
Upper-level winds could become less conducive for development by 
Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under 
WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued 
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi