TROPICAL OUTLOOK...STORM INVESTIGATIONS

 

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Beta, located over the far western Gulf of Mexico, and on 
Hurricane Teddy, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast 
of Bermuda.

1. Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette is producing a small area of showers 
and thunderstorms, not far to the northeast of its center of 
circulation.  Some development is still possible, and the system 
could become a tropical or subtropical cyclone today or tomorrow 
while it moves eastward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information about 
marine hazards associated with this system, see High Seas Forecasts 
issued by Meteo France. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. An area of showers and thunderstorms located over southeastern 
Florida, the northwestern Bahamas, and the Straits of Florida is 
associated with a weak frontal system. This disturbance is forecast 
to move southward over central and western Cuba during the next 
couple of days, and then move back northward on Thursday through 
Saturday. Upper-level winds are expected to become marginally 
conducive for development by Thursday and Friday when the 
disturbance is forecast to approach the Florida Keys and South 
Florida. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall can be 
expected across portions of South Florida and the Florida Keys 
today and tonight, and over western Cuba on Tuesday and Wednesday. 
For more information on this system, see forecast products issued 
by your national meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and are available on the web at 
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ 
metarea2

Forecaster Stewart