...TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ...STORM INVESTIGATION CARIBBEAN SEA...

GFS HAS BEEN HINTING ON DEVELOPMENT IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF OCTOBER AND POSSIBLY THE SECOND WEEK OF OCTOBER.

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 28 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western 
Caribbean Sea in a few days. Some gradual development of the 
disturbance will be possible thereafter while the system moves 
slowly west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky