TROPICAL OUTLOOK...STORM INVESTIGATION

BY THE LOOK OF THE FORMATION CHANCES AT HIGH 100% AND HOW WELL ORGANIZED IT LOOKS ON SATELLITE, WE WILL MORE THAN LIKELY SEE THIS SYSTEM NAMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29 OR TROPICAL STORM ETA BY 500 PM OR THIS EVENING.

NOTE CMC AND GFS IS TAKING THIS SYSTEM NORTHWARD.  IF THAT SLOW DOWN IN THE MIDDLE OF THE FORECAST VERIFIES, THAT COULD MEAN CHANGES THAT WILL BE OCCURRING TO THE NORTH OF THIS SYSTEM THAT WILL BEGIN THAT NORTHWARD PULL.  THE EURO BEGS TO DIFFER WITH A TRACK WEST AND SOUTHWEST OVER NICRAGUA AND INTO THE EAST PACIFIC.

SINCE THESE ARE ONLY FORECAST AND ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE, I ENCOURAGE MY VIEWERS TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY NEXT WEEK.

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 311749
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A vigorous tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea 
continues to produce organized cloudiness and thunderstorms, and a 
tropical depression appears to be forming.  If this recent 
development trend continues, then advisories will likely be 
initiated on this disturbance this afternoon or evening while the 
system moves generally westward at about 15 mph toward the western 
Caribbean Sea.  Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, and Nicaragua should 
monitor the progress of this system.  Regardless of development, 
this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rainfall across 
portions of Jamaica and southern Hispaniola through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart/Berg