TROPICAL OUTLOOK...STORM INVESTIGATION

000
ABNT20 KNHC 212309
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 21 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad trough of low pressure located near and north of the Turks 
and Caicos Islands is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. A low pressure area could form within the next couple 
of days as the trough lifts northward, and there is a slight chance 
it could briefly acquire subtropical characteristics early next week 
before merging with a cold front. Later next week, this system may 
have a second opportunity to develop subtropical characteristics if 
it becomes separated from the front and meanders over the central 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven