RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE ATLANTIC, CARIBBEAN SEA, AND THE GULF OF MEXICO.
GULF OF MEXICO
- GULF REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW. GFS MODEL IS SUGGESTING DEVELOPMENT OFF THE TEXAS COAST SECOND WEEK OF JUNE AROUND THE 9TH, BUT THAT IS A LONG RANGE FORECAST, AND IT COULD CHANGE TO NO STORM DEVELOPMENT BY THEN. I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR MODELS. THERE IS A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE OR SOUTHERN GULF, AND THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS TROUGH.
CARIBBEAN SEA
- THE NORTHWEST, CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW. AS FOR THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN NEAR PANAMA AND NORTHWEST COLOMBIA REGION, THERE ARE STRONG TO MODERATE STORMS THAT ALSO EXTEND INTO THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ARE ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST COLOMBIA, AND A MONSOON TROUGH OVER THIS REGION. THIS AREA IS USUALLY VERY ACTIVE DURING THIS TIME AND TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AT ANYTIME.
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND BAHAMAS
- THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF STORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE REGION.
NORTH ATLANTIC
- NORTH ATLANTIC REMAINS QUIET AS WELL. THERE IS A SURFACE TROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS PRODUCING SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS. NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AFRICAN COAST
- THERE IS PLENTY OF MODERATE SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE INTER-TROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. HOWEVER, NON OF THESE STORM CELLS ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. AS FOR THE AFRICAN COAST, AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS THERE ARE STRONG TO MODERATE SHOWERS AND STORMS AND THIS IS MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH A MONSOON TROUGH AND A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 20° WEST. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
RTW
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