RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE 09:00AM EDT

 

INVEST 92L HAS FINALLY BEGUN ITS SLOW NORTHWARD TRACK.  THIS IS A DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH MOST OF THE STORMS ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.  THE CENTER IS VOID OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS BUT THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A SUB-TROPICAL STORM OR TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIS EVENING OR ON FRIDAY.  

THE BIGGEST CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS HEAVY RAINFALL THAT CAN PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS IN THE AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING.

FLORIDA COULD STILL SEE SOME MORE RAINS AS SOME OF THESE STORMS MAKE THEIR WAY EAST FROM THE GULF AROUND THE COUNTER-CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION FROM THE LOW CENTER.

MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN YOUR AREAS AND NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR UPDATES.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

691 
ABNT20 KNHC 171151
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 17 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico 
is producing widespread but disorganized cloudiness, showers, and 
thunderstorms.  This system is expected to move northward, and a 
tropical or subtropical depression is likely to form over the 
west-central Gulf of Mexico tonight or early Friday.  An Air Force 
Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the 
disturbance this afternoon, if necessary.  Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central 
America and southern Mexico during the next few days.  Heavy rains 
should also begin to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast on 
Friday.  Please consult products from your local meteorological 
service for more information. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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National Hurricane Center / Tropical Prediction Center, Local Emergency Management Office, or your Local Media".

 

Ralph's Tropical Weather