Tuesday, June 1, 2021

...TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 1, 2021...THE OFFICIAL START OF THE 2021 HURRICANE SEASON...

 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK BY RTW

JUNE 1, 2021...1122 AM EDT

TODAY MARKS THE START OF THE 2021 HURRICANE SEASON WHICH RUNS JUNE 1 THROUGH NOVEMBER 30.  HERE ARE THIS SEASON NAMES, AND PLEASE NOTE THAT SUB-TROPICAL STORM ANA WHICH WAS A SHORT LIVED STORM OCCURRED IN THE ATLANTIC MIDDLE OF MAY.

ANA, BILL, CLAUDETTE, DANNY, ELSA, FRED, GRACE, HENRI, IDA, JULIAN, KATE,

LARRY, MINDY, NICHOLAS, ODETTE, PETER, ROSE, SAM, TERESA, VICTOR, WANDA

 GULF OF MEXICO, FLORIDA EAST COAST AND THE BAHAMAS

THERE IS A STRONG LINE OF STORMS MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST OF TEXAS MAINLY DUE TO A STATIONARY FRONT A A SURFACE TROUGH AHEAD OF THE FRONT.  THE INTERACTION WITH THE TWO IS ENHANCING THE RAIN AND STORMS OVER THE REGION.  THIS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY AS IT MOVES OFF SHORE AND POSSIBLY SIT OVER THE WARM WESTERN GULF WATERS.

AS FOR FLORIDA A LINGERING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE I MENTIONED IN YESTERDAYS OUTLOOK SEEMS TO HAVE A MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH.  YOU CAN SEE THE SPIN OFF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE BAHAMAS.  ALTHOUGH I AM MONITORING CLOSELY, THE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE EASTERN GULF, FLORIDA EAST COAST IS RATHER DRY AND YOU CAN SEE THE DRY AIR IN WATER VAPOR CLEARLY IN-TRAINING INTO THE CIRCULATION.  SO DEVELOPMENT IF ANY WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR, BUT SOMETHING TO MONITOR CLOSELY.

CARIBBEAN SEA

THE CARIBBEAN REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN NOT CAUSING MUCH TROUBLE.  ITS RELATIVELY QUIET AT THIS TIME.

THE NORTH ATLANTIC, CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND COAST OF AFRICA

THE NORTH ATLANTIC HAS A COLD FRONT PRODUCING SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME.

THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC HAS THOSE STORMS THAT FORM ALONG THE INTER-TROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AND THERE WAS A WAVE EMBEDDED IN YESTERDAYS UPDATE BUT IT HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE SURFACE MAP BECAUSE IT IS NO LONGER VISIBLE.

OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA THERE IS A NEW WAVE THAT MOVED OFF OVER NIGHT.  THE SOUTHERN AXIS HAS SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS MAINLY AN INTERACTION WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THAT REGION.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.

RTW






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