...FRED HAS A ROUGH ROAD AHEAD AND OBSTICLES THAT WILL DEVILITATE THE STORMS STRUCTURE...

 

FRED HAS A ROUGH ROAD AHEAD, MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC, DRY AIR, AND SOME WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA AS WELL.  THE WATERS OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS STILL REMAIN VERY WARM BUT THIS MIGHT NOT BE ENOUGH TO GET THIS STORM GOING AS IT INTERACT WITH CUBAN COAST.  THE BEST CHANCE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT WILL BE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AS IT TURNS NORTH TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.  MOST OF THE MODELS SUGGEST A DEPRESSION BUT WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP MONITORING.

RTW

...CENTER OF FRED JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

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8:00 AM AST Wed Aug 11
Location: 18.0°N 69.1°W
Moving: WNW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 1006 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph