RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE SEPT 14, 2021

 

NHC TROPICAL OUTLOOK

000
ABNT20 KNHC 141742
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 14 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Nicholas, located over the upper Texas coastal plain near 
Houston.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area 
located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde 
Islands continues to show signs of organization. Environmental 
conditions are expected to remain conducive for development, and a  
tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of 
days while system moves generally westward at about 15 mph across 
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles 
northeast of the southeastern Bahamas is producing a large area 
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development 
during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form 
while the system moves north-northwestward to northward across the 
western Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown