RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE SEPT 21, 2021

 

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER OUTLOOK

000
ABNT20 KNHC 211742
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Peter, located more than 100 miles northeast of Puerto Rico, 
and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern tropical 
Atlantic Ocean.

A small but concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms is 
redeveloping along a tropical wave located a few hundred miles 
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are 
expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by Thursday or Friday while the system 
moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of 
Odette, is located about 700 miles west-northwest of the westernmost 
Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics over 
marginally warm waters during the next few days while it executes a 
small cyclonic loop over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, 
by the end of the week, this system is expected to encounter more 
hostile environmental conditions. Additional information on this 
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Papin