NEW INVEST /TROPICAL WAVE THAT WILL EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA HAS A 50% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT. AT THIS TIME AREAS TO THE NORTHEAST OF WHERE THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO TRACK OVER, THE SEA SURFACE TEMPS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. IF THIS SYSTEM TRACKS WEST THEN TEMPS ARE WARMER AND MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
AS FOR THE INVEST OVER CENTRAL AMERICA THERE IS A 30% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS IT EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WHERE TEMPS ARE OCEAN TEMPS ARE FAVORABLE.
RTW
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
000 ABNT20 KNHC 091146 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 9 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the western Atlantic a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Depression Mindy, located inland over southeastern Georgia. The northern portion of a tropical wave over northeastern Honduras and the western Caribbean Sea is forecast to emerge over the southern Bay of Campeche on Saturday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support some gradual development of the system before it moves over mainland Mexico early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast of Africa on Saturday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week as it moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Mindy are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Mindy are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Pasch/Hagen
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