...RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE...

 

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPIC OUTLOOK

000
ABNT20 KNHC 131118
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over 
Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, the southeastern Bahamas, and 
adjacent Atlantic waters continue in association with a surface 
trough of low pressure.  Development, if any, of this disturbance 
should be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to 
unfavorable upper-level winds.  The system is forecast to drift 
northward through tonight, then accelerate eastward as a broad area 
of low pressure on Thursday.  Toward the end of the week, further 
development is not anticipated since the disturbance will be 
interacting with a frontal system.   Regardless, locally heavy 
rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and 
Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart