...NHC IS MONITORING A DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN LINGERING IN THE NORTH GULF...

 

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring the northern Gulf for tropical cyclone formation.  This system has a Low formation chance within 48hrs and 5-days 10%.

See Full details below:

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun May 22 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. North Central Gulf of Mexico:
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is associated with 
a surface trough of low pressure over the north central Gulf of 
Mexico. Surface pressures remain high, and environmental conditions 
do not appear favorable for significant development before this 
system moves inland over the central Gulf Coast in a day or so. 
Regardless of development, the system could produce heavy rainfall 
and gusty winds over portions of the central Gulf Coast from 
southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle. Additional 
information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in 
products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast 
Office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather 
Prediction Center. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Papin

Tropical Waves:

• Tropical Wave #1 is near 61°-60° west with the northern axis of the wave approaching the windward islands.  And southern half of the wave is over Central America.  There is numerous showers and storms east of the wave axis mainly due to the interaction with the ITCZ inter-tropical conversion zone.
  

• Tropical Wave Number 2 is near 22°-21° west with numerous showers along the southern half of the waves axis.  There are no signs of tropical development at this time as the wave moves through Sahara dust/and dry air.

RTW