Saturday, June 11, 2022

...THE TROPICS STILL QUIET FOR NOW....


 I continue to monitoring the Southern Caribbean for tropical cyclone formation.  There is a potential for development in the Southern Caribbean and B.O.C. during Mid to latter half of June.  Sahara Dust encompasses the tropical Atlantic. 

RTW 

Full Outlook from NHC by clicking (Here)

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic along 22W, from 13N
southward, moving W at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
from 04N to 07N between 22W and 25W.

A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic along 40W, from 07N to
21N, moving W at 15-20 kt. The Saharan Air Layer is currently
inhibiting convective activity. This tropical wave is currently
embedded within a Potential Vorticity Streamer (PVS). A PVS is an
elongated strip of air transported southward from the 
midlatitudes which possesses a higher potential vorticity than 
the surrounding environment. A PVS can interact with tropical 
waves in the subtropics. These interactions may increase the 
sharpness of the tropical wave axis, dictate the forward motion of
the tropical wave, and affect convection associated with the 
tropical wave.

A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean along 63W, from 14N
southward, moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers associated 
with the wave are affecting the SE Caribbean, E Venezuela, and 
the Windward Islands. 

A tropical wave just exited the SW Caribbean and is now positioned
along 83.5W, from 16N southward, moving W at 5 kt. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection, likely enhanced by the 
extension of the East Pacific Monsoon Trough, is noted across the 
SW Caribbean from the coast of Panama north to 15N between 75W 
inland over Colombia and 84W along the coasts of Nicaragua and 
Costa Rica.

 



 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.