...NORTHERN GULF STORM INVEST 07-11--2022...0635 AM EDT...

 

Dry air is moving south from the north as the trough moves into to Gulf.  The upper level low is now stationary for now.

We will have to wait and see if the dry air affects the development in the coming days.

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 110524
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jul 11 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northern Gulf of Mexico:
A surface trough of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of 
days over the northern Gulf of Mexico, partially related to a 
decaying frontal boundary currently located over the southeastern 
United States. Some slow development of this system is possible if 
it remains offshore during the middle and latter part of the week 
while it moves little. Regardless of development, heavy rains will 
be possible along portions of the northern Gulf coast from Louisiana 
to the Florida Panhandle over the next several days. For more 
information about the potential for heavy rain, please see products 
issued by your local National Weather Service office and the Weather 
Prediction Center. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation change through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&
Products from the Weather Prediction Center can be found at 
wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and local National Weather Service products can 
be found at weather.gov

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Bucci