...STORM INVEST REMAINS DISORANIZED...

 

Storm invest remain's disorganized at this time.  Most of the model doesn't even develop this system.  Most of the heavy rain is off shore.  I will continue to monitor it. 

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 121142
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northern Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northern Gulf of 
Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure.  This system 
is expected to meander near the northern Gulf coast through the end 
of the week, and gradual development is possible if it remains 
offshore.  Regardless of development, heavy rains will pose a risk 
of flash flooding along portions of the northern Gulf coast from 
Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle over the next several days. For 
more information about the potential for heavy rain, please see 
products issued by your local National Weather Service office and 
the Weather Prediction Center. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&
Products from the Weather Prediction Center can be found at 
wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and local National Weather Service products can 
be found at weather.gov

$$
Forecaster Berg