...STORM INVEST 97L IS DISORGANIZED...HOSTILE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD HINDER DEVELOPMENT...

GOOD MORNING!

I BEEN MONITORING THE ENVIRONMENT AROUND AND AHEAD OF STORM INVEST 97L AND IT LOOKS LIKE THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING INTO THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT BY THIS WEEKEND WHICH IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  

SAHARA DUST AND DRY AIR IS TO THE NORTH OF 97L AND AHEAD AS IT NEARS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN, THERE IS STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHEAR FORECAST FOR THIS WEEKEND.  NOT LOOKING LIKE MUCH DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR.

NHC HAS LOWERED FORMATION CHANCE FROM MEDIUM 40% CHANCE WITHIN 5-DAYS TO LOW 30% CHANCE.

I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR ANY CHANGES.

RTW

435 
ABNT20 KNHC 091140
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic: 
Shower and thunderstorm activity has become more limited associated 
with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of 
the Cabo Verde Islands. While some gradual development of this 
system is possible over the next couple of days, environmental 
conditions are forecast to become less favorable by this weekend. 
This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 
to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin