...STORM INVEST EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS REMAINS DISORGANIZED AS IT MOVES THROUGH DRY AIR...

 

STORM INVESTIGATION EAST OF THE WINDWARD REMAINS DISORGANIZED DUE TO DRY AIR IN THE AREA IT IS TRACKING THROUGH.  SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS IT TRACKS FURTHER WEST IN THE CARIBBEAN WHERE DRY AIR HAS BEEN DISPLACED MY MOISTURE.

THE WAVE THAT IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE AFRICAN COAST HAS PLENTY OF MOISTURE BUT DRY AIR IS ALSO AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.  I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR BOTH WAVES.

RTW

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 

000
ABNT20 KNHC 241134
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 24 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East of The Windward Islands:
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized associated 
with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east-southeast of 
the Windward Islands.  Environmental conditions could become more 
conducive for slow development of this system in several days after 
it crosses the Windward Islands and moves across the eastern and 
central Caribbean Sea late this week into early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in 
a day or two. Environmental conditions could support some slow 
development of this system late this week or over the weekend 
while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Hogsett