...STORM INVESTIGATION NOW HAS A LOW CHANCE 20% WITHIN 48 HOURS AND MED CHANCE 40% WITHIN 5-DAYS...

 

I CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM AS CHANCES FOR DEVELOPMENT ARE SLOWLY INCREASING.  AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM IS SAHARA DUST AND DRY AIR SO THIS SHOULD HINDER RAPID DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRACKS WEST TO A WEST-NORTHWEST.  

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 081735
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 8 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic: 
A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern 
tropical Atlantic south of the Cabo Verde islands is associated with 
a tropical wave. This system has changed little in organization 
today, but environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual 
development over the next several days while it moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic. A tropical depression could form by the middle to 
latter portion of this week before environmental conditions become 
less favorable by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin