...EARL HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ALL NIGHT WITH A SLOW DRIFT...EARL IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD...HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE FOR PURTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT...

 

EARL IS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT DUE TO DANIELLE STUCK AND BARELY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD.  IN BETTER WORDS AN ATMOSPHERIC TRAFFIC JAM.  A STRONG SUB-TROPICAL STORM SYSTEM, NORTHEAST OF DANIELLE AND HIGH PRESSURE IS PREVENTING A FASTER TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHEAST.  THIS WILL KEEP A WEAKNESS IN THE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF EARL AND A TRACK NORTH AND EAST FOR OTHER ATLANTIC STORMS TRACKING WEST FOR NOW.

WE HERE HAVE TO MONITOR THE GULF AND CARIBBEAN AS WE PASS THE PEAK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON FOR HOME GROWN STORMS.  OTHER THAN THAT, A PORTION OF THE UNITED STATES WILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH STORMY WEATHER AND FLOODING FROM FRONTS THAT BECOME STATIONARY DUE TO THE ATMOSPHERIC TRAFFIC JAM IN THE ATLANTIC.

THERE IS ANOTHER STORM INVEST OFF THE AFRICAN COAST BUT I AM NOT WORRIED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM, AS IT HAS TO PASS THROUGH DRY AIR IN THAT PART OF THE ATLANTIC.

RTW