...EARL'S TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AFFECTING BERMUDA THIS EVENING... ..95L PASSING THROUGH UPPER LEVEL SHEAR...

 

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN BERMUDA SOON...

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8:00 PM AST Thu Sep 8
Location: 30.6°N 64.3°W
Moving: NNE at 16 mph
Min pressure: 962 mb
Max sustained: 100 mph

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000
ABNT20 KNHC 082343
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Sep 8 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Earl, located less than 140 miles south of Bermuda.

Central Tropical Atlantic: 
A low pressure system located about 1300 miles east of the northern 
Leeward Islands is producing shower and thunderstorm activity that 
is displaced well to the northeast of the circulation center by 
strong upper-level winds. Environmental conditions appear to be only 
marginally conducive for additional development.  However, an 
increase in organization of the system could still result in the 
formation of a short-lived tropical cyclone in the next day or so as 
it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the 
central tropical Atlantic.  By this weekend, environmental 
conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development. 
For more information on this system, including Gale Warnings, please 
refer to the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southeast of 
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a disorganized area of showers 
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
some gradual development during the next several days while the 
system moves generally west-northwestward over the eastern tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Pasch