Monday, October 10, 2022

...TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OCT 10, 2021 09:59 AM EDT...

 

TROPICS ARE QUIET FOR NOW AS JULIA CONTINUES TO DROPP HEAVY RAINS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO.  

A DISORANZIED AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH JULIA'S OUTFLOW WILL BE MOVING INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE (SOUTHERN GULF).  AS JULIA DISSPIPATES OR CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER INTO THE EAST PACIFIC A LOW COULD FORM IN THE SOUTHERN GULF AND COULD DEVELOP IN THE COMING DAYS OR INTO NEXT WEEK.  A LOW THAT SITS AROUND COULD DEVELOP TROPICAL CHARACTERICS, SO I WILL KEEP AN EYE ON IT.

ELEWHERE THE TROPICS ARE QUIET!

RTW

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 10 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwest Gulf of Mexico:
An area of disturbed weather located to the north of Tropical Storm 
Julia is forecast to move westward toward the far southwest Gulf of 
Mexico during the next day or two. Some slight development of this 
system is possible by mid-week if the disturbance remains over 
water. Regardless of development, heavy rain is expected over 
portions of southern Mexico, Belize, and Guatemala during the next 
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster D. Zelinsky





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