Friday, November 18, 2022

...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY...


THE GFS IS UP TO ITS USUAL DAY DREAMING DEVELOPING A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER.  I WOULD DISREGARD THIS UNLESS WE BEGIN TO SEE OTHER MODELS SUGGESTING  THE SAME.

WHAT I AM SEEING SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE SOUTHERN GULF AND EXTENDS NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.  IF YOU REMEMBER  THE CLIMATE PREDICITON CENTER SAID THAT WOULD BE POSSIBLE FORMATION IN THAT REGION BETWEEN NOVEMBER 16-22.  I WILL MONITOR THIS AREA CLOSELY.

RTW





DISREGARD UNLESS WE SEE OTHER MODELS SUGGESTING THE SAME!
00Z GFS MODEL RUN

12Z GFS MODEL RUN. (THIS WOULD BE MORE LOGICAL)


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