SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK THURSDAY 19, 2023

STAY UP TO DATE WITH SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK BY VISITING STORM PREDICTION CENTER.

EHANCED, SLIGHT AND MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS TODAY THURSDAY 19, 2023 FOR THE FOLLOWING OHIO COUNTIES:

ENHANCED RISK: Columbus, OH...Springfield, OH...Mansfield, OH...Newark, OH...Huber Heights, OH...

SLIGHT RISK: Cleveland, OH...Akron, OH...Dayton, OH...Parma, OH...Canton, OH...

MARGINAL RISK: Pittsburgh, PA...Toledo, OH...Cincinnati, OH...Fort Wayne, IN...Euclid, OH...

TORNADO PROBABILITIES

TORNADO PROB FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN OHIO:

2% Columbus, OH...Akron, OH...Dayton, OH...Canton, OH...Youngstown, OH...

HAIL PROBABILITIES

HAIL PROB FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN OHIO:

5% Columbus, OH...Dayton, OH...Springfield, OH...Kettering, OH...Middletown, OH...

DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITIES

DAMAGING WIND PROB FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN OHIO:

30% Columbus, OH...Springfield, OH...Mansfield, OH...Newark, OH...Huber Heights, OH...

15% Cleveland, OH...Akron, OH...Dayton, OH...Parma, OH...Canton, OH...

5% Pittsburgh, PA...Toledo, OH...Cincinnati, OH...Fort Wayne, IN...Euclid, OH...

Mesoscale Discussion 0077
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0648 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2023

   Areas affected...Parts of Upper MI

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 191248Z - 191745Z

   SUMMARY...Snow rates of 1-2 inches/hour will be possible for a few
   hours this morning.

   DISCUSSION...An area of moderate to heavy snow has been moving
   quickly northward across central/northern WI early this morning,
   within a strongly difluent upper-level flow regime to the northeast
   of a deepening mid/upper-level cyclone that is moving eastward out
   of the central Plains. This area of snow is moving into Upper
   Michigan, where colder temperature profiles may support somewhat
   higher snow ratios compared to farther south. In addition,
   large-scale ascent will likely become maximized between 15-18Z, as
   the mid/upper-level cyclone reaches peak intensity, and 1-2
   inch/hour snow rates may develop and persist over portions of Upper
   MI into the late morning hours, before a weakening trend commences
   by early/mid afternoon.

   ..Dean.. 01/19/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...