The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a non-tropical low near the Azores Islands for sub-tropical development. The chances of formation are low (10%).
And elsewhere, there are three tropical waves that are not showing any signs of organization at this time.
RTW
000 ABNT20 KNHC 051139 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jun 5 2023 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northeastern Atlantic Ocean: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean between the Azores and Canary Islands are associated with a complex non-tropical area of low pressure. This system could develop some subtropical characteristics during the next couple of days while it moves little. By late in the week, however, the system is expected to move northeastward over cooler waters ending its chances of subtropical development. For additional information on this system see products issued by the State Meteorological Agency of Spain and High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. Products issued by State Meteorological Agency of Spain are available on the web at https://www.aemet.es/en/eltiempo/prediccion $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Roberts
000 AXNT20 KNHC 050901 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1205 UTC Mon Jun 5 2023 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of an Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is near 31W, from 14N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 09N between 31W and 36W. The axis of an Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is near 52W, from 14N southward, moving west from 10 knots to 15 knots. There is limited deep convection in the vicinity of the tropical wave. The axis of a Caribbean Sea tropical wave is near 65W, from 14N southward, moving westward from 5 knots to 10 knots. There is limited deep convection in the vicinity of the tropical wave. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Guinea- Bissau near 11N15W to 08N18W. The ITCZ continues from 08N18W to 06N30W. It resumes from 06N33W to 06N50W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 09N between 20W and 28W. ...GULF OF MEXICO... A surface trough extends across the SE Gulf, with high pressure centered over the NW Gulf. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center, with gentle to moderate winds prevailing elsewhere. Seas are in the 1-3 ft range. For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the basin through the middle of the week, with mainly gentle to moderate winds. Winds will pulse to fresh speeds off the western coast of the Yucatan Peninsula tonight. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Moderate to locally fresh winds are noted east of 70W as well as over the Gulf of Honduras. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range east of 70W, and 2-3 ft elsewhere. For the forecast, weak pressure pattern across the region will maintain gentle to moderate winds across the Caribbean and the tropical Atlantic through Tue, with occasional fresh pulses across the SE Caribbean and along the coast of Venezuela. High pressure will build north of the area, increasing winds and seas over the eastern and central Caribbean from the middle to end of the week. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front extends from near 31N75W to northern Florida. Fresh to strong winds are in the vicinity of the front, with seas in the 8-12 ft range. High pressure centered near 18.5N48W extends a ridge along 20N. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 3-5 ft are in the vicinity of the area of high pressure. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 7-10 ft are found N of the ridge and east of 60W. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, are noted over the remainder of the discussion waters. For the forecast W of 55W, fresh to strong NE winds and large NE swell will prevail over the waters off northeast Florida today as a weakening cold front sinks S into the region. Atlantic high pressure will build across the forecast waters through the week. $$ AL
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