..TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE OCT 16, 2023..

 

000
ABNT20 KNHC 161148
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical 
Atlantic about midway between the Windward Islands and western 
Africa is producing disorganized shower activity.  The low-level 
circulation has become better defined since yesterday and, since 
environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for 
further development, a tropical depression is still likely to form 
within a few days.  This system is forecast to move westward or 
west-northwestward across the central and western tropical Atlantic 
during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake