Tuesday, October 31, 2023

..MONITORING STORM INVESTIGATION 97L DEVELOPING IN THE EAST CARIBBEAN OCT 31, 2023..


Well, I have my eyes on 97L and the cold fronts and troughs, plus the building highs to the north of this developing storm system. Lots can happen if this system doesn't move much faster. So I monitor and will report daily on its progress, or sooner if models begin to trend differently.

RTW

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 31 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL97):
A trough of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing 
a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for further development during the next several 
days while the system moves westward over the central and 
southwestern Caribbean Sea, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form by the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, 
this system has the potential to produce heavy rains over portions 
of Central America towards the end of the week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Kelly













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