..TRACKING THE TROPICS OCT. 11, 2023..

 

..SEAN CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

11:00 AM AST Wed Oct 11 Location: 10.9°N 34.4°W Moving: WNW at 13 mph Min pressure: 1006 mb Max sustained: 40 mph

000
ABNT20 KNHC 111140
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 11 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
upgraded Tropical Storm Sean, located over the eastern tropical 
Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles to the south-southeast 
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of showers and 
thunderstorms. This activity is showing some signs of organization 
this morning, and environmental conditions appear conducive for some 
additional development of this system over the next several days 
while the wave moves westward across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Sean are issued under WMO header 
WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on 
Tropical Storm Sean are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and 
under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Papin

Warm front backing north over Florida is enhancing showers and
storms. A disturbance in the Gulf is merging with this front and will bring gusty winds and severe storms to the a portion of Northern and Central Florida.

Latest days 1-2 Severe Storm Outlook for Florida (Slight to marginal risk for severe storms, tornado and damaging winds.

Day 2 also a slight Marginal risk!

Day three a chance for thunderstorms but not severe.

NWS Miami

@NWSMiami

·

4h

There is a threat for strong to severe thunderstorms across South FL today. T-storms will begin in the early afternoon while moving from south to north through the area into the evening hours. The greatest risks will be in Hendry, Glades & Palm Beach Co. near the Lake O region.

Day 1-3 Excessive rainfall outlook.