..HEAVY RAINS STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE SOUTHERN HALF OF A FRONT IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN..

 

Showers and storms have developed along the tail end of a stationary frontal boundary that extends into the northwest Caribbean. The front and a surface trough are interacting, and strong storms with heavy rains, gusty winds, and lightning have developed east of Yucatan. This area is also being enhanced by Invest 97L moisture, which will be spreading heavy rains over central America over the night and on Saturday. The Yucatan may see these storms move inland over night and Saturday if they hold together.

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Nov 3 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Caribbean Sea (AL97): 
A broad area of low pressure continues to produce a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean 
Sea.  Further development of this system appears unlikely before it 
moves inland over Central America tonight or on Saturday.  
Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring heavy 
rains over portions of Central America through the weekend.  This 
rainfall could produce flash flooding, along with mudslides in areas 
of higher terrain.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi