Friday, December 15, 2023

..DAY 2-3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK..

 


AS THIS STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE SATURDAY AND OVER NIGHT SUNDAY MORNING, THE WIND GUST WILL INCREASE OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND CENTRAL FLORIDA AS A BROKEN SQUALL LINE MOVES OVER THE STATE.

AS THIS BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES OVER FLORIDA, SOME OF THESE ISOLATED CELLS COULD BE IN THE STRONG TO SEVERE LIMITS, WITH DAMAGING WIND GUST.

THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SOME OF THESE SEVERE CELLS COULD SPIN UP AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO. HEAVEY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE IN THOSE STRONGER CELLS AS THE LOW APPROACHES THE WEST FLORIDA COAST.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR THE ENTIRE STATE OF FLORIDA, EFFECTIVE 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY.

ROUGH SURF, RIP CURRENT WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE; COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES, WIND ADVISORY, AND GALE WARNINGS OFF SHORE ARE ALSO IN PLACE.

SEE BELOW DAY 2 NWS MIAMI HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AND STORM SPOTTER MESSAGE!

RTW

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI

..DAYS TWO Saturday-Sunday.

Thunderstorms and the potential for heavy rain are possible on
Saturday into early Sunday. Heavy rain may lead to localized
flooding. A few strong to severe storms are possible on Saturday
with damaging wind gusts. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out as
well, especially for areas near Lake Okeechobee.

Dangerous marine conditions are anticipated through the weekend due
to strong winds and high seas.

Dangerous beach conditions are anticipated through the weekend along
the Atlantic coast with high rip current risks and large breaking
waves in the surf zone. The dangerous beach conditions may extend to
the Gulf coast late this weekend.

Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible through Saturday with the
strongest wind gusts occurring near the immediate east coast.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report high wind, hail, and
flooding to the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.


DAY 1 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK


DAY 2 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

AREAS AT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS

SLIGHT31,68112,516,942Miami, FL...Tampa, FL...St. Petersburg, FL...Hialeah, FL...Fort Lauderdale, FL...
MARGINAL7,1942,799,906Orlando, FL...Spring Hill, FL...Deltona, FL...Daytona Beach, FL...Port Orange, FL...

DAY 2 TORNADO PROBABILITY


AREAS AT RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADO
5 %31,68012,521,747Miami, FL...Tampa, FL...St. Petersburg, FL...Hialeah, FL...Fort Lauderdale, FL...
2 %7,0022,755,072Orlando, FL...Spring Hill, FL...Deltona, FL...Daytona Beach, FL...Port Orange, FL...

DAY 2 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY

AREAS AT RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADO

15 %31,72012,594,743Miami, FL...Tampa, FL...St. Petersburg, FL...Hialeah, FL...Fort Lauderdale, FL...
5 %6,9702,697,897Orlando, FL...Spring Hill, FL...Deltona, FL...Daytona Beach, FL...Port Orange, FL...

DAY 3 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

AREAS AT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS
MARGINAL33,8345,297,955Savannah, GA...Charleston, SC...Wilmington, NC...Palm Bay, FL...North Charleston, SC...


AREAS AT RISK FOR SEVERE STORM PROBABILITY
5 %33,8805,331,642Savannah, GA...Charleston, SC...Wilmington, NC...Palm Bay, FL...North Charleston, SC...



EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK





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