Ralph's Tropical Weather-RTW: ..DAY 2 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK AND FLORIDA TEMPS WED-SUNDAY..

The Storm Prediction Center has no severe storms forecast for the near future. Day 2, they show a general thunderstorm outlook, but they are not anticipating any of the storms that may develop to reach severe limits.

A cold front that brought showers yesterday made it off shore on the Southern Florida Peninsula over night. This front ushered in cooler temperatures this morning, and it will become cooler this evening and over night, with possible mid- to upper-50s by tomorrow morning.

Then a gradual warm-up occurs Friday as high pressure moves quickly into the Atlantic and shifts the winds out of the east as another colder front moves in from Saturday into Sunday, dropping the temps in the south between the upper 40s and lower 50s.

Northern Florida will be ranging between freezing 20s and 30s, and Central Florida will be in the upper 30s to lower 40s. It will be breezy and gusty at times, making it feel much colder. By Tuesday, the temperatures will begin to moderate throughout the state.

RTW

DAY 2 THURSDAY SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

(GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS NOT SEVERE)

SPC AC 170624

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1224 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2024

   Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Thursday.

   ...Synopsis...

   A shortwave upper trough embedded within a broader trough east of
   the Rockies will pivot east from the southern Plains to the
   Carolinas on Thursday. At the surface, a weak low will move in
   tandem with the shortwave impulse across the Gulf coast states
   vicinity. A trailing cold front will sweep southeast across the
   Southeast during the period, extending from southern GA into the
   northern Gulf of Mexico by Friday morning. Southerly low-level flow
   ahead of the front will allow upper 50s to near 60 F dewpoints to
   impinge on the central Gulf coast, with somewhat higher dewpoints
   expected across central/southern FL. While boundary-layer moisture
   will be greater across the FL Peninsula, poor lapse rates and
   relatively warm midlevel temperatures will result in capping and
   limit destabilization. A few lightning flashes may occur over parts
   of the Peninsula, but severe storms are not expected.

   ..Leitman.. 01/17/2024