A potent winter weather system is tracking east and is setting up a volatile environment for severe storms, strong damaging winds, strong tornadoes, and damaging hail. The Storm Prediction Center is publishing their outlook information, so check their website this afternoon for another update.
RTW
DAY 1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK
RISK AREAS FOR SEVERE STORM:
| ENHANCED | 59,502 | 9,738,868 | Houston, TX...New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Mobile, AL...Pasadena, TX... |
| SLIGHT | 54,208 | 4,173,382 | College Station, TX...Sugar Land, TX...Missouri City, TX...Bryan, TX...Dothan, AL... |
| MARGINAL | 123,079 | 14,211,145 | Dallas, TX...Austin, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX... |
DAY 1 TORNADO PROBABILITY
RISK AREAS IN THE BLACK HATCHED LINES
HAS A SIGNIFICANT CHANCE FOR TORNADOES.
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
| SIG SEVERE | 53,449 | 7,243,326 | Houston, TX...New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Mobile, AL...Pasadena, TX... |
| 10 % | 56,780 | 9,566,913 | Houston, TX...New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Mobile, AL...Pasadena, TX... |
| 5 % | 36,631 | 3,510,259 | College Station, TX...Sugar Land, TX...Missouri City, TX...Bryan, TX...Panama City, FL... |
| 2 % | 20,847 | 878,068 | Dothan, AL...Alexandria, LA...Lufkin, TX...Nacogdoches, TX...Enterprise, AL... |
DAY 1 DAMAGING HAIL PROBABILITY
RISK AREAS FOR DAMAGING HAIL:
| 15 % | 69,382 | 11,087,093 | Houston, TX...New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Pasadena, TX...Metairie, LA... |
| 5 % | 83,267 | 5,162,547 | Shreveport, LA...Mobile, AL...Jackson, MS...Tyler, TX...Longview, TX... |
DAY 1 DAMAGING WINDS PROBABILITY
RISK AREAS IN THE BLACK HATCHED LINES
HAS A SIGNIFICANT CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
| SIG SEVERE | 46,131 | 5,213,765 | New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Mobile, AL...Metairie, LA...Lafayette, LA... |
| 30 % | 45,984 | 5,207,156 | New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Mobile, AL...Metairie, LA...Lafayette, LA... |
| 15 % | 64,024 | 8,428,548 | Houston, TX...Pasadena, TX...Beaumont, TX...Sugar Land, TX...The Woodlands, TX... |
| 5 % | 126,907 | 14,488,438 | Dallas, TX...Austin, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX... |
DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RINFALL OUTLOOK
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