A strong low along the California coast is producing an atmospheric river of moisture over a portion of the coast. This will enhance the potential for excessive rainfall and flash flooding. This system will then track east, affecting Texas, Louisiana, and a portion of Mississippi on Friday and Saturday, then east toward Florida.
There is a slight risk—at least a 15% chance for excessive rainfall—for a portion of southern Arkansas, Louisiana, and southern Mississippi.
So far, I see no chances for severe weather with this next front. Most of the models show the line breaking up before approaching Florida. However, there is at least a 5% marginal risk chance for excessive rainfall in the following states: a portion of Mississippi, all of Alabama, GA, a portion of South Carolina, and all of Florida. See maps below from (Weather Prediction Center).
RTW
Severe Weather Outlook Day 1-3
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