..DAY 1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK AND A HEADS UP FOR FLORIDA ON POSSIBLE STRONG STORMS FRIDAY..

 

Day-1 Severe Storm Outlook shows a Marginal Risk for a portion of Florida today as showers and storms will develop along a frontal boundary as it moves south through the state.  

As for Friday the GFS and EURO models are hinting at a low pressure system tracking east across Florida and bring with it the possibility of heavy rains, and strong to severe storms over the southern Peninsula.  I will continue to monitor it and will post here in the coming days.

The Storm Prediction Center does not have anything on this as of now, but if the models continue to show this they may post something as we get closer to Friday.

RTW

DAY-1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

MARGINAL

25,129

10,931,195

Tampa, FL...St. Petersburg, FL...Orlando, FL...Coral Springs, FL...Port St. Lucie, FL...

DAY-1 TORNADO OUTLOOK

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

2 %

2,649

1,292,270

Port St. Lucie, FL...West Palm Beach, FL...Palm Bay, FL...Melbourne, FL...Jupiter, FL...

DAY-1 DAMAGING HAIL OUTLOOK

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.

5 %

20,041

7,650,611

Orlando, FL...Coral Springs, FL...Port St. Lucie, FL...West Palm Beach, FL...Lakeland, FL...

DAY-1 DAMAGING WIND OUTLOOK

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.

5 %

25,198

10,971,762

Tampa, FL...St. Petersburg, FL...Orlando, FL...Fort Lauderdale, FL...Hollywood, FL...

AND HERE IS THE EURO AND THE GFS MODELS SHOWING HEAVY RAINS AND STORMS MOVING OVER THE STATE ON FRIDAY.