Tropical depression two upgraded to Tropical Storm Beryl earlier this evening. Since Beryl is tracking in the lower latitudes, it has taken advantage of favorable atmospheric conditions in the upper levels and avoided the Saharan dust and dry air.
Conditions north of 10°North and between 60°West and 50°West are presently not favorable in the upper-levels; however, they are forecast to become somewhat favorable for further strengthening, and Beryl is forecast to be a hurricane when crossing the Windward Islands.
The National Hurricane Center forecast calls for a Cat 2 hurricane, but some intensity models show Cat 3 or 4.
So far, models are tracking Beryl Westward and are expected to turn Beryl more to the west-northwest across the Caribbean and not Florida. I will continue to monitor, but so far it looks like a Lesser Antilles threat, followed by Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and possibly Yucatan.
RTW
| ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM BERYL... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... | |||||||
| 11:00 PM AST Fri Jun 28 Location: 9.3°N 43.6°W Moving: W at 18 mph Min pressure: 1006 mb Max sustained: 40 mph | |||||||
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