..MAYOR CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE BERYL 1100 AM UPDATE..

 

I have been reviewing the satellite this morning, and I have noted a deterioration in the cloud structure in the west quadrant of Beryl. This has caused some warming of the clouds on the west side of the storm and a slight weakening of the tropical cyclone.

I have also noted that the tropical wave ahead of Beryl has a 1008 mb low pressure associated with it, and the outflow from this low pressure is blowing against the west side of Beryl. 

Beryl is presently in a marginally favorable environment between a neutral and favorable upper-level environment and is gradually moving toward an upper-level trough ahead of the cyclone. 

This could help to weaken Beryl down some, but it looks like the intensity forecast will keep Beryl as a Category-3 major storm as it passes over or near southern Jamaica. Beryl is still forecast to produce life-threatening winds and a storm surge in Jamaica on Wednesday, according to the NHC.

RTW

Look at the Hurricane Icon below and the Low with the tropical wave ahead of Beryl 

Look at Beryl below, between the neutral yellow line and the favorable green line. 

It is in a neutral, marginally favorable environment. Southwest of Beryl are brown wind lines that show low pressure blowing against Beryl's west quadrant. Also note to the west an upper-level trough that will also interact with beryl to help weaken it some.

Always stay up to date with the National Hurricane Center for the latest updates.

...BERYL CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO JAMAICA ON WEDNESDAY...

11:00 AM AST Tue Jul 2 Location: 15.3°N 68.9°W Moving: WNW at 22 mph Min pressure: 938 mb Max sustained: 160 mph