..TROPICAL OUTLOOK AUG 27, 2024 0615 PM EDT..

 As it is right now, there is not much to talk about in reference to these disorganized showers and storms. There is no circulation with this disorganized system at this time. Models are all over the Atlantic, so it's useless to even monitor the ensemble until there is a center of circulation with this system. For now, I continue to monitor and hope that if there is development, they will curve out to sea. 

Another strong monsoon trough is about to move off the African coast. I will watch this system as well.

The Global Tropics Hazards Outlook update is out again and still shows development over the Atlantic. But so far, that has been a bust in August. I do have to admit that this has been a very unusual hurricane season, and that is good. However, this has been a strange season, with sea surface temperatures being favorable and upper conditions as well. 

RTW

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form in the central portion of the 
Tropical Atlantic in a few days. Thereafter, environmental 
conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of 
this system this weekend into early next week as it moves westward 
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Pasch

-------------------------------------------------------------------

823 
ACCA62 KNHC 271721
TWOSAT

Perspectiva sobre las Condiciones del Tiempo en el Trópico
Centro Nacional de Huracanes del SNM Miami FL
200 PM EDT martes 27 de agosto de 2024

Para el Atlántico Norte...Mar Caribe y el Golfo de México:

Atlántico Tropical Central: Un área de baja presión podría formarse
en la porción central del Atlántico Tropical en unos pocos días. A
partir de entonces, las condiciones ambientales parecen generalmente
favorables para algún desarrollo lento de este sistema este fin de
semana hasta principios de la próxima semana a medida que se mueve
hacia el oeste al oeste-noroeste a 10 a 15 mph.
* Probabilidad de formación hasta 48 horas...baja...cerca del 0 por
ciento.
* Probabilidad de formación hasta 7 días...baja...20 por ciento.

$$
Pronosticador Hagen/Pasch

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