..TROPICAL OUTLOOK SEPT 12, 2024..

 

...DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...

11:00 AM AST Thu Sep 12 Location: 17.8°N 34.6°W Moving: WNW at 17 mph Min pressure: 1007 mb Max sustained: 35 mph

000
ABNT20 KNHC 121152
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Francine, located inland over south-central Mississippi, 
and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic 
Ocean.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): 
A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of 
the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm 
activity. Development of this system is not expected while it moves 
westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms have become a bit more concentrated in 
association with a small area of low pressure located a few hundred 
miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, the proximity of dry 
air near the system is expected to limit additional development 
over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected 
to become even less conducive over the weekend while the system 
moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along 
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern 
U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development 
is possible during the early part of next week while the system 
drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

NORTHERN LEEWARD PURTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THIS SYSTEM. THERE AFTER MAYBE THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA MIGHT HAVE TO MONITOR AS WELL IF THIS SYSTEM STAYS WEAK AND CONTINUES ON A WESTWARD TRACK.