..HURRICANE RAFAEL UPDATE NOVEMBER 6, 2024..

 

...RAFAEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL IN WESTERN CUBA... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA...

10:00 AM EST Wed Nov 6 Location: 21.4°N 81.9°W Moving: NW at 14 mph Min pressure: 960 mb Max sustained: 110 mph

You can see the bend back to the south with most of the models. An indication that there

is blocking of this storm system most likely due to stationary frontal boundary to the north 

and west of Rafael.

 

You can see in the national three day map that the front does not move much to the east and 

becomes stationary trapping Rafael in the central Gulf.

SLIGHT 1,150 43,056 Key West, FL... MARGINAL 3,311 129,608 Naples, FL...Key Largo, FL...Marathon, FL...

TORNADO PROBABILITY

5 %	1,140	43,056	Key West, FL...
2 %	3,351	147,471	Naples, FL...Key Largo, FL...Marathon, FL...