TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE OCTOBER 15, 2025

 

Some ensemble models continue to hint at development in the west or central Caribbean in the coming week as a tropical wave over the far east Atlantic makes its way westward. This system has a better chance of formation when it enters the Central Caribbean. We all need to monitor this one and be ready if it heads our way.

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Algunos modelos de conjunto siguen insinuando el desarrollo en el Caribe occidental o central durante la próxima semana, a medida que una onda tropical sobre el Atlántico oriental avanza hacia el oeste. Este sistema tiene mayor probabilidad de formarse al entrar en el Caribe central. Todos debemos estar atentos y estar preparados si se dirige hacia nosotros.

RTW

The ICON German Model also shows some development as this system reaches the Central Caribbean.

The GEM Canadian Model shows this system weakening.

GFS American Model a bit aggressive with the development of this Caribbean wave, 
whipping up a major hurricane. 

EURO AI Model not interested in this wave.

EURO Model model shows development and a track over eastern Cuba