LATE AFTERNOON TROPICAL UPDATE JUNE 9, 2018...0556 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Currently, two tropical waves are observed between the coast of 
Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Two tropical waves are moving 
across the Caribbean Sea. 

A tropical wave is along 21W from 4N-13N moving westward 15 to 20
kt. The Hovmoller Diagram indicates the westward propagation of 
the wave, and model diagnostics guidance also suggests the presence
of this system. This wave shows up well as a low amplitude moisture
surge on the TPW product. Currently, convection is limited along 
the wave's axis due to the presence of African dust.

A second tropical wave extends its axis along 35W/36W south of 
15N, moving westward 10 to 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is
seen where the waves axis meets the ITCZ. Saharan dust surrounds 
the wave.

A tropical wave has entered the Caribbean Sea. Its axis is along 
62W south of 18N, moving westward 15 to 20 kt. A patch of low
level moisture with embedded showers is associated with the wave,
affecting parts of the Lesser Antilles. The wave will pass south
of Puerto Rico tonight, and reach Hispaniola on Sun.

A tropical wave is moving across the western Caribbean Sea around
10 kt. Its axis is along 86W, south of 18N. The wave will pass 
west through the Gulf of Honduras through this evening and interact
with an upper-level trough resulting in continued thunderstorm 
development across parts of the western Caribbean and northern 
Central America.

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

  ralphstropicalweather.com

TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 9, 2018...1220 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 20W from 13N southward
moving westward 10 to 15 kt. Convection is limited near the wave 
axis.

A second Atlantic Ocean tropical wave extends its axis along 
34W south of 15N, moving westward 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers
are noted where the wave meets the ITCZ.

A third Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 57W/58W, south of 
15N, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Scattered moderate convection
is near the southern end of the wave's axis.

A Caribbean Sea/Central America tropical wave is moving through
Honduras and Nicaragua, from 18N southward along 85W, moving 
westward 10 knots. The wave is interacting with an upper level 
trough, extending from the eastern Gulf of Mexico to the Yucatan 
Peninsula. This will help to induce precipitation across Central 
America and the western Caribbean Sea during the weekend.

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

ralphstropicalweather.com

AFTERNOON TROPICAL UPDATE JUNE 8, 2018...0342 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Currently, three tropical waves are noted between the coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

A tropical wave is added to the 1200 UTC analysis/surface map 
along 15W from 5N-13N. The Hovmoller Diagram indicates the 
westward propagation of the wave, and model diagnostics guidance 
also suggests the presence of this system. A cluster of moderate 
convection is noted within about 150 nm ahead of the wave's axis 
from 7N-10N.

A second tropical wave extends its axis along 33W south of 15N, 
moving westward 15 to 20 kt. Convection is limited along the 
wave's axis.

Another tropical wave is along 53W/54W, south of 15N, moving 
westward 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted where
the wave's axis meets the ITCZ. 

A tropical wave is moving across the western Caribbean Sea around
10 kt. Its axis is along 84W, south of 17N. Scattered showers and
tstms are behind the wave's axis over the SW Caribbean, affecting
mainly the waters S of 12N. Moisture associated with the wave will
spread across northern Central America the rest of today and Sat.
An upper-level trough extending over the eastern Gulf of Mexico 
and the Yucatan Peninsula will also help to induce convection 
across Central America and the western Caribbean this upcoming
weekend.

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

ralphstropicalweather.com 

TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 8, 2018...1026 AM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave extends its axis along 32W and 
south of 15N, moving westward at about 15 kt. This wave is noted 
at 700 mb. Convection is limited along the wave's axis.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis along 53W, south of
15N, moving westward 10 to 15 kt. This wave is noted at 700 mb. 
Scattered moderate convection is where the wave's axis meets the
ITCZ.  

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave extends its axis along 83W, south of
17N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The wave is moving through 
the area of an already-existing convection mainly due to an upper-
level trough that extends across the western Caribbean. 

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

ralphstropicalweather.com

AFTERNOON TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 7, 2018...0319 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 26W/27W south of 13N, 
moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate
rainshowers elsewhere from 10N to 20N from 30W eastward.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 49W/50W from 13N 
southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. no significant
precipitation. 

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 79W/80W, from 18N
southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. No significant 
convective precipitation. The wave is moving through the area of
an already-existing upper level trough.

A tropical wave is moving through the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of
southern Mexico, along 94W, moving westward 10 knots. 
Precipitation: rainshowers are possible in interior sections of
the Isthmus of Tehuantepec.

---------------------------------------------------------------

There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW 

 ralphstropicalweather.com

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

602
WUUS52 KMFL 071822
SVRMFL
FLC011-086-099-071900-
/O.NEW.KMFL.SV.W.0015.180607T1822Z-180607T1900Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Miami FL
222 PM EDT THU JUN 7 2018

The National Weather Service in Miami has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern Miami-Dade County in southeastern Florida...
  Broward County in southeastern Florida...
  Southeastern Palm Beach County in southeastern Florida...

* Until 300 PM EDT.

* At 221 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Pompano Beach to Oak Point, moving northeast at
  20 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Fort Lauderdale, Pembroke Pines, Hollywood, Miramar and Pompano
  Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from
windows.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service
office in Miami. You can also share your report with NWS Miami on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 2640 8001 2606 8006 2595 8028 2604 8029
      2622 8025
TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 213DEG 17KT 2625 8013 2603 8019

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

13

TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 7, 2018...1028 AM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 25W/26W south of 13N, 
moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: Scattered moderate
rainshowers from 05N-10N between 21W-28W.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 48W/49W from 13N 
southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. 

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 77W/78W, from Jamaica
southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. No significant 
convective precipitation is apparent in satellite imagery due to 
Saharan dust. 

A tropical wave is moving through the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of
southern Mexico, along 92W/93W, moving westward 10 knots.
Precipitation:  Scattered moderate convection is observed along 
the wave's axis mainly south of 19N. 

--------------------------------------------------------------- 

There are no signs of tropical cyclone of formation at this time...RTW

 ralphstropicalweather.com 

AFTERNOON TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 6, 2018...0228 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 19W/20W from 14N
southward. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong
rainshowers are from 06N to 08N between 18W and 22W.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave axis is along 43W/44W from 13N
southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated
moderate ITCZ-related rainshowers are from 07N southward between
40W and 50W.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 17N68W 14N70W 10N71W,
moving westward 15 knots. Precipitation: no significant deep
convective precipitation is apparent in satellite imagery.
The wave will pass due south of Hispaniola for the rest of the day 
today.

A tropical wave is along 90W from 20N southward, in the Yucatan
Peninsula, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. no significant deep
convective precipitation is apparent in satellite imagery.

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW 

Please note that this morning I added a new wave on the map but I forgot

to add NHC discussion on that wave they were reporting on.  I corrected that

my apology...RTW

ralphstropicalweather.com 

TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 6, 2018...0931 AM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has emerged from the African coast over the 
evening hours, located along 18W and S of 14N. The wave is 
associated with scattered moderate convection between the African 
coast and 20W.

A low amplitude tropical wave axis is along 42W and S of 12N 
moving west at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is related to 
this wave at this time.

A tropical wave axis is along 68W and S of 17N, moving west 
across the eastern Caribbean at 15 kt. No convection is related 
to this wave at this time due to the presence of African dust over
the E Caribbean. The wave will pass due south of Hispaniola 
through today.

A tropical wave axis is along 89W and S of 20N, moving westward 
at 15 kt across the Yucatan Peninsula. Abundant moisture is 
related to the wave based on water vapor animation. The wave is 
generating scattered showers and isolated tstms over parts of 
northern Central America and the Yucatan Basin, mainly west of 
85W. This moisture will continue spreading across the Yucatan area
through the next 24 hours.

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW 

 ralphstropicalweather.com 

AFTERNOON TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 5, 2018...0304 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A low amplitude tropical wave axis is along 40W S of 12N moving 
west at 15-20 kt. Isolated moderate convection is noted where the
wave meets the ITCZ.

A tropical wave axis along 61W/62W S of 16N is moving west across
the eastern Caribbean at 15 kt. A surge of moisture associated 
with the wave is evident from TPW imagery. The Windward Islands
are currently reporting showers in the vicinity with the wave 
passage. The wave will cross S of Puerto Rico today, and will 
reach Hispaniola on Wed. Convection will be limited with the wave
passage due to the presence of African dust over the NE Caribbean.
A recent scatterometer pass indicates the wind shift related to 
the wave axis.

A tropical wave axis along 86W S of 20N is moving westward at 15 
kt across the NW Caribbean and Central America. Abundant moisture
is related to the wave based on TPW animation. The wave is
generating scattered showers and isolated tstms over parts of
northern Central America and the NW Caribbean. Moisture from this
wave will spread across the Yucatan Peninsula late today.

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...rtw

ralphstropicalweather.com 

TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 5, 2018...0923 AM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave axis is along 38W/39W S of 13N in the eastern 
Atlantic, moving west at 15 kt. TPW imagery depicts abundant 
moisture in the wave environment south of 10N. Isolated moderate 
convection is noted where the wave meets the ITCZ.

A tropical wave axis along 60W/61W S of 14N is moving west into 
the eastern Caribbean at 10-15 kt. A surge of moisture associated 
with the wave is evident from TPW imagery. Scattered moderate 
convection is east of the wave near the coast of South America. 
The passage of the wave will bring some shower activity across 
Windward Islands today.

A tropical wave axis along 85W S of 18N is moving westward at 10-
15 kt across Central America. Abundant moisture is related to the
wave based on TPW animation. A cluster of moderate to strong
convection persists over the SW Caribbean in the wake of the wave
axis. The wave is also inducing a cluster of moderate to isolated
strong convection in the eastern Pacific S of Panama. Showers 
from this wave will spread across the Central America today, and 
reach the Yucatan Peninsula tonight.

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

I continue to monitor the Northwest Caribbean into next week. Although
high pressure seems in control at this time and may be in control next
week the GFS continues to insist on some development in this region
of the Caribbean. GFS was the only one insisting on Alberto when other
models were not picking up on Alberto's development, so I don't want
ignore this model...RTW

ralphstropicalweather.com 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 4, 2018...0345 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is over the eastern Atlantic with axis extending 
from 14N31W to 01N32W, moving westward at 15 kt. TPW imagery 
depicts abundant moisture in the wave's environment, and the wave
coincides with a trough at 700 mb. Scattered moderate convection 
is noted where the wave meets the ITCZ. 

A tropical wave is along 58W S of 14N, moving westward at 10-15 
kt. A modest surge of moistened air is associated with the wave 
based on the TPW imagery. Scattered moderate and isolated strong 
convection is from 08N-10N between 53W and the coast of NW Guyana.
Moisture associated with this wave will reach the Windward Island
late today producing some shower activity.

A tropical wave is over the Caribbean Sea with axis along 80W S 
of 17N. This wave is moving westward at 10-15 kt. Abundant 
moisture is related to the wave based on the TPW animation. A 
cluster of moderate to isolated strong convection is between the 
wave axis and the coasts of western Panama and Costa Rica, mainly 
S of 11N. The wave is also helping to induce another cluster of 
moderate to isolated strong convection on the EPAC region. 
Moisture associated with this wave will spread across the 
remainder of Central America today and tonight, reaching the 
Yucatan Peninsula late Tue.

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

This mornings website update had the wrong date and time updated because

I forgot to change it. My apology...RTW

ralphstropicalweather.com 

TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 4, 2018... 0928 AM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is over the eastern Atlantic with axis extending 
from 14N31W to 01N32W, moving westward at 20 kt. TPW imagery 
depicts abundant moisture in the wave's environment and model 
diagnostics show a trough at 700 mb. Scattered moderate convection
is where the wave meets the ITCZ. 

A tropical wave is along 55W S of 14N, moving westward at 15 kt. 
The wave is depicted as a broad trough of moisture on TPW imagery.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is from 08N-10N
between 53W and the coast of NW Guyana.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 78W
S of 16N. This wave is moving westward at 15 kt. The wave is 
rather ill-defined at the surface at this time, and the axis
extends into the EPAC region. A cluster of moderate to strong 
convection is ahead of the wave axis over the SW Caribbean. 
This is most likely due to the monsoon trough extending from the 
E Pacific. 

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There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

ralphstropicalweather.com