CHRIS
544
WTNT33 KNHC 111458
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Chris Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032018
1100 AM AST Wed Jul 11 2018
...CHRIS CONTINUES ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.4N 67.8W
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 1035 MI...1670 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in Atlantic Canada should monitor the progress of
Hurricane Chris.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Chris was located
near latitude 36.4 North, longitude 67.8 West. Chris is moving
toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h). The hurricane is
forecast to remain on this general heading with an increase in
forward speed for the next several days. On the forecast track the
center of Chris will pass near southeastern Newfoundland on
Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the day today,
with some weakening forecast on Thursday. Chris will likely
also become a strong post-tropical cyclone on Thursday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Hurricane Chris are expected to affect
portions of the coasts of North Carolina and the mid-Atlantic states
during the next few days. These swells could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
RAINFALL: Chris is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 millimeters) over Newfoundland, with
possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches (150 millimeters).
These rains may cause flash flooding.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Zelinsky https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
BERYL (INVEST 95L)
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 11 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Chris, located more than 300 miles east of the North Carolina Outer
Banks.
1. A large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms associated
with the remnants of Beryl is located over much of the Bahamas and
extends northwestward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred
miles. Little or no development is expected today, but conditions
could become a little more favorable later in the week while the
disturbance moves slowly northward over the western Atlantic. The
previously scheduled Air Force Reserve reconnaissance flight to
investigate the disturbance this afternoon has been canceled.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
Forecaster Stewart https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/