MODELS ONCE AGAIN INSISTING ON LOW IN GULF TO PASS OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA

Models are flip flopping again, and are once again suggesting that a low associated with a front and squall line that affected Texas over night, will track a low from the the Gulf across Southern Florida Peninsula.  

Most of the models show a broken line of storms and nothing significant at this time.  However, between Wednesday evening and Thursday we can see and increase in showers and storms across the state.  Some of these cells could become strong to severe at times if they hold their energy.  I will continue to monitor this system during the next few days.

RTW

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST 1153 AM EST

Today Feb 20, 2017

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  Northeast wind to 11 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F. East northeast wind to 10 MPH.

Tuesday Feb 21

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East northeast wind 9 to 14 MPH.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  East wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Wednesday Feb 22

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 79°F. East wind 8 to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 68°F.  East southeast wind to 13 MPH, gusting to 20 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Thursday Feb 23

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 81°F. East southeast wind 11 to 16 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 70°F.  East southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday Feb 24

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  East southeast wind to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 70°F.  East southeast wind 5 to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Saturday Feb 25

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 84°F. Southwest wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 68°F. Southeast wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Feb 26

Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  North northeast wind 5 to 10 MPH.

 FORECAST MAPS COURTESY OF N.W.S. MIAMI FLORIDA

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UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Tonight Feb 18, 2017

Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows around 70°F.  South wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Feb 19

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  Southwest wind to 8 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  Northwest wind to 8 MPH.

Monday Feb 20

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 82°F.  North northeast wind 6 to 13 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  East northeast wind to 10 MPH.

Tuesday Feb 21

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East northeast wind 8 to 13 MPH.

Isolated Showers during the night: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows around 70°F. East southeast wind 10 to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Wednesday Feb 22

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 81°F. East southeast wind to 17 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with showers likely during the night: Lows around 66°F.  East southeast wind 10 to 15 MPH. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Thursday Feb 23

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 17 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  Southeast wind to 10 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday Feb 24

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 82°F. West wind to 9 MPH, gusting to 16 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F. South southwest wind to 9 MPH.

MODELS COME TO THEIR SENSES, NO LONGER INSISTING ON LOW IN GULF

After reviewing the latest model run for Saturday Feb 18, 2017 models have dropped the notion that low pressure may form possibly a sub-tropical system  in the Gulf and track across  Florida during middle of next week.  I will keep monitoring in case it pops back up again.