Ralph's Tropical Weather-RTW

Friday, August 4, 2017

COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY UPDATED 2017 HURRICANE FORECAST STILL ABOVE NORMAL

Craig Setzer CBS4 Retweeted Philip Klotzbach

Probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline is above-normal due to the fcst for above-average season.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/893412446664372225

MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST

Today Aug 4, 2017

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 100°F. African Dust in the environment. East southeast wind 10 to 15 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night: Lows around 84°F. Heat index around 99°F. East southeast wind to 11 MPH.

Saturday Aug 5

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 91°F. Heat index around 102°F. African dust in the Environment. Southeast wind 8 to 14 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night: Lows around 84°F. Heat index around 99°F. East southeast wind to 13 MPH.

Sunday Aug 6

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 100°F. East southeast wind 10 to 16 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH.

Scattered Storms during the night: Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. Lows around 84°F. Heat index around 95°F. East wind to 16 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Monday Aug 7

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F. East southeast wind to 16 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 84°F. Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tuesday Aug 8

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 84°F. Heat index around 95°F. East wind to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Wednesday Aug 9

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind to 16 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 84°F. Heat index around 95°F. East wind to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Thursday Aug 10

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. East southeast wind to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

FORECAST MAPS ARE COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA

TRACKING THE TROPICS AUG 4, 2017 1102 AM EDT

RTW: Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. INVEST 99L is a two part system with a tropical wave and mulitple lows. Showers and storms are not well organized at this time but this system still has the potential for tropical cyclone formation next week. The atmospheric pattern north of this system at present is setup for this system to track toward the west-northwest with out a chance for re-curve toward the north. Will have to keep a close watch on this system into next week...RTW..RTW

2. INVEST 90L not organized and this time but conditions seem favorable for organziation as it tracks toward the Yucatan during the next few days...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

STORM INVEST 99L

STORM INVEST 90L

Thursday, August 3, 2017

TRACKING THE TROPICS AUG 3, 2017 1041 PM EDT

RTW: Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. INVEST 99L is looking better organized this evening, so if this trend continues we could see a depression of tropical storm form in a day or two. This system needs to be watch closely as the Atlantic High could steer this system further west. So far recurving of this system does look possible if conditions hold...RTW

2. INVEST 90L not much change today. I will keep monitoring it...RTW

STORM INVEST 99L

STORM INVEST 90L

TRACKING THE TROPICS AUG 3, 2017 0518 PM EDT

RTW: Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. I am still monitoring that strong wave that moved off the coast of over night. NHC is now on board with this wave as well and is giving this wave a LOW Chance 30% within 48 hrs. and High 70% within 5-days. This is the wave to watch as future patterns don't favor for a recurve to the north and away from the east coast. of the U.S. Still to far out so will continue to watch it closely...RTW

2. The tropics are popping with another strong wave in the East Caribbean. This wave if forecast to develop some as it track west toward the BOC (Bay of Campeche) Southern Gulf of Mexico. That may be a threat for Mexico or the Gulf coast. NHC gives this system a 10% chance within 48 hrs and a Low 20% chance within the 5-days.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

STORM INVEST 99L

STORM INVEST 90L

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK AUG 3, 2017 1211 PM EDT

RTW: Ralph's Tropical Weather

Storm Investigation 99L
1. I am still monitoring that strong wave that moved off the coast of over night. NHC is now on board with this wave as well and is giving this wave a LOW Chance 30% within 48 hrs. and 60% within 5-days. This is the wave to watch as future patterns don't favor for a re-curve to the north and away from the east coast. of the U.S. Still to far out so will continue to watch it closely...RTW

Elsewhere the tropics remain relatively quiet. I will keep you posted.

RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

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