UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST

Tonight Jun 14, 2017 0407 PM EDT

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms:  Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 7 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Thursday Jun 15

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F. Southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 75°F.  Southeast wind to 7 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Jun 16

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  Heat index around 93°F. South southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 79°F. South southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

Saturday Jun 17

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F.  South southeast wind to 9 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Sunday Jun 18

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind 7 to 14 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday Jun 19

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday Jun 20

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA 

TRACKING THE TROPICS JUNE 14, 2017 0349 PM EDT

The strong wave west of the African coast is not looking as impressive as it did 24 hours ago.  The convection (thunderstorms) associated with this wave is slowly diminishing.  I will continue to monitor it as it tracks westward.

Upper level winds over the northwest Caribbean remain hostile for development at this time.  This are will also be monitored into next week...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

LIGHTNING ALERT MIAMI

LIGHTNING DETECTED IN MIAMI WITH SOME STRONG CELLS

TRACKING THE TROPICS JUNE 14, 2017 1233 PM EDT

TRACKING A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE NOW ASSOCIATED WITH A 1011 MB LOW THAT MOVED OFF THE AFRICAN COAST EARLY YESTERDAY MORNING. 

THIS LOW LATITUDE WAVE/LOW IS IN AN AREA OF LOW WIND SHEAR AND NO SAHARA DUST OR DRY AIR.  SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE CAN OCCUR AS LONG AS IT STAYS IN THE LOWER LATITUDES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THIS SYSTEM HAS A 10% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 48 HRS.

Still Monitoring northwest Caribbean for tropical cyclone formation during the coming days and into next week. This system has a 20% chance for development during the next 5-days...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST

Tonight Jun 13, 2017

Partly cloudy with scattered showers:  Lows around 79°F. East wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Wednesday Jun 14

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. Southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Thursday Jun 15

Mostly cloudy with showers likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F. South southwest wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 77°F. Southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Jun 16

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. Southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 79°F. South southeast wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Saturday Jun 17

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind to 8 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 7 MPH, gusting to 12 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday Jun 18

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F. Southeast wind 6 to 11 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. Southeast wind to 10 MPH, gusting to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Monday Jun 19

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F. Southeast wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR COURTESY OF N.W.S. MIAMI FLORIDA 

TROPICAL UPDATE JUNE 13, 2017 1048 PM EDT

A low latitude aggressive wave that moved off the coast of Africa earlier this morning is holding together fairly well.  At these low latitudes the wave remains in a favorable shear environment and some development could occur if it stays at this low latitude as it tracks westward.

Still monitoring the northwest Caribbean.  Upper level shear over the Southern Yucatan is unfavorable for development at this time.  This area will be closely monitored...RTW