NEW FUTURE WAVE INVESTIGATION AND PRESENT STORM INVESTIGATION

 

NHC HAS ADDED ANOTHER INVESTIGATION AREA OVER FAR EAST ATLANTIC.  THIS IS A FUTURE WAVE THAT IS FORECAST TO MOVE OF THE AFRICAN COAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE OTHER INVESTIGATION HAS NOW BEEN NUMBERED INVEST 91L.  I WAS ABLE TO PULL UP MODELS FOR THAT SYSTEM.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

066 
ABNT20 KNHC 031734
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 3 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A small area of low pressure with some associated showers and 
thunderstorms is located about 100 miles south of Praia in the Cabo 
Verde Islands. Significant development of this system is not 
expected during the next day or two due to unfavorable upper-level 
winds and marginally warm waters.  The low is forecast to move 
northward or north-northwestward through Thursday before the system 
moves over cool waters, ending development chances.  Locally heavy 
rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the Cabo 
Verde Islands through Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by 
late Thursday.  This system has the potential for slow development 
over the far eastern Atlantic through the weekend while it moves 
westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake 

>>> Disclaimer <<<

Never make important decisions based on this information or any weather information obtained from the Internet unless it comes from a source such as: "NOAA, National Weather Service,

National Hurricane Center / Tropical Prediction Center, Local Emergency Management Office, or your Local Media".

 

Ralph's Tropical Weather

RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE AUG 3, 2021

 

STORM INVESTIGATION OFF THE AFRICAN COAST HAS A FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HRS AND 5 DAYS LOW 10%.  THE EURO IS NO LONGER SUGGESTING A TROPICAL CYCLONE SO I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

ELSEWHERE THE ALL REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW.

RTW

>>> Disclaimer <<<

Never make important decisions based on this information or any weather information obtained from the Internet unless it comes from a source such as: "NOAA, National Weather Service,

National Hurricane Center / Tropical Prediction Center, Local Emergency Management Office, or your Local Media".

 

Ralph's Tropical Weather

NEW STORM INVESTIGATION OFF THE AFRICAN COAST

 

THERE IS A NEW AREA OF INVESTIGATION OFF THE AFRICAN COAST.  HERE IS THE MAPS AND THE NHC TROPICAL OUTLOOK.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

000
ABNT20 KNHC 021729
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 2 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A surface trough of low pressure over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean 
centered a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some development 
of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it 
moves northward or northwestward before the system moves over cool 
waters by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

>>> Disclaimer <<<

Never make important decisions based on this information or any weather information obtained from the Internet unless it comes from a source such as: "NOAA, National Weather Service,

National Hurricane Center / Tropical Prediction Center, Local Emergency Management Office, or your Local Media".

 

Ralph's Tropical Weather

RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE... AUG 2, 2021

 

THE TROPICS REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW AND WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR ALL AREAS.

THE EURO MODEL CONTINUES TO INSIST ON TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMING AND RE-CURVING OUT TO SEA. 

RTW

 

>>> Disclaimer <<<

Never make important decisions based on this information or any weather information obtained from the Internet unless it comes from a source such as: "NOAA, National Weather Service,

National Hurricane Center / Tropical Prediction Center, Local Emergency Management Office, or your Local Media".

 

Ralph's Tropical Weather

RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE JULY 31, 2021

 

SO FAR NO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.  THE ONLY MODEL SUGGESTING LOW PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC, IS THE EURO MODEL AND THAT WOULD BE SOME TIME AROUND THE 8TH OF AUGUST.  

REMEMBER THESE LONG RANGE FORECAST ARE ALWAYS SUBJECT TO CHANGE AND THERE MAY BE NO DEVELOPMENT BY THEN.  I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION AS WE ENTER AUGUST.

RTW

 

RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE JULY 30, 2021

 

THE TROPICS REMAIN QUIET FOR NOW.  THREE TROPICAL WAVES TRACKING WEST TWO IN THE ATLANTIC AND ONE IN THE CARIBBEAN.  NONE ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.

RTW

>>> Disclaimer <<<

Never make important decisions based on this information or any weather information obtained from the Internet unless it comes from a source such as: "NOAA, National Weather Service,

National Hurricane Center / Tropical Prediction Center, Local Emergency Management Office, or your Local Media".

 

Ralph's Tropical Weather

RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE JULY 29, 2021

 

ALL AREAS OF THE GULF, CARIBBEAN NORTH ATLANTIC AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS FREE FROM TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME.  I AM MONITORING CLOSELY THE AFRICAN COAST FOR LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF AUGUST.

RTW

>>> Disclaimer <<<

Never make important decisions based on this information or any weather information obtained from the Internet unless it comes from a source such as: "NOAA, National Weather Service,

National Hurricane Center / Tropical Prediction Center, Local Emergency Management Office, or your Local Media".

 

Ralph's Tropical Weather

RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE JULY 28, 2021

 

GULF OF MEXICO CARIBBEAN SEA LOOKING QUIET FOR NOW.  

NORTH ATLANTIC LOOKING QUIET AS WELL WITH AN ABUNDANCE OF DRY AIR.

CENTRAL ATLANTIC HAS A STRONG WAVE NEAR 25°-24° WEST INTERACTING WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS REGION.  SOME OF THE MODELS SUGGEST THAT LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM NEAR THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  I WILL MONITOR THIS AREA CLOSELY.

RTW

 

RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE JULY 27 2021

 

OVER ALL THERE ARE FOUR TROPICAL WAVES TRACKING WEST.  

• THE FIRST THREE WAVES ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN ONE NEAR 86°-85° WEST.

• THE SECOND WAVE IS NEAR 80°-78° WEST, THIS WAVES HAS STRONG TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AXIS OF THE WAVES. 

• THE THIRD WAVE IS NEAR 66°-65° AND THIS WAVE HAS NO SHOWERS AND STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH IT.

• THE FORTH WAVE IS OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 31°-30° WEST.  THIS WAVE HAS SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS. ALONG THE SOUTHERN AXIS OF THE WAVE MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTERACTION BETWEEN AND THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS REGION.

NONE OF THESE WAVES ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME.

RTW