DAY 1-3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK
(CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS)
(SLIGHT RISK)
DAY 6 WEDNESDAY SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED
(SLIGHT TO ENHANCED RISK)
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
DAY 2-3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK
(MARIGINAL RISK)
NATIONAL FORECAST CHART ANIMATION
DAY 1-3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK
(CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS)
(SLIGHT RISK)
DAY 6 WEDNESDAY SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED
(SLIGHT TO ENHANCED RISK)
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 840 AM EST Thu Dec 8 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for subtropical development over the central Atlantic. 1. Central Subtropical Atlantic: A non-tropical low pressure area located about 925 miles east-southeast of Bermuda continues to produce an extensive area of showers and thunderstorms. However, the system remains embedded within a frontal zone, which is expected to become even more pronounced later today as the low begins to move east-northeastward at 20 to 25 mph toward colder waters and interacts with a mid-latitude trough. Therefore, it is unlikely that the low will transition to a subtropical or tropical cyclone. Nevertheless, significant non-tropical development of this low is expected during the next couple of days, and additional information, including hurricane-force wind warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. This will be the last Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued on this system. Regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlooks will resume on May 15, 2023, while Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as necessary during the off-season. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Forecaster Brown
DAY 1-3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK
(CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS)
NOTE DAYS 6-7 SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS NEED TO KEEP MONITORING IN THE COMING WEEK!
(10%-40%)
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 830 AM EST Wed Dec 7 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for subtropical development over the central Atlantic. 1. Central Subtropical Atlantic: A large non-tropical area of low pressure located over the central subtropical Atlantic about 900 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This activity has become somewhat better organized this morning, though frontal features remain attached to the low. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for development and a subtropical or tropical storm could form within the next day or so. By Friday, the low will move northeastward over cooler waters and interact with a mid-latitude trough, limiting the chance for additional subtropical or tropical development of the system. Additional information on this low, including warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 PM EST Wednesday, or earlier, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Forecaster Papin
DAY 1 HAIL OUTLOOK LESS THAN 5% ALL AREAS
DAY 1 TORNADO OUTLOOK