Well, finally, we are seeing more consistency with the forecast models. It is looking like a sub-tropical to even tropical cyclone moving over Florida by the middle of next week. Some models hint at a depression to a tropical storm, but you can't rule out a Cat-1 hurricane, if conditions are favorable. So we stay alert and monitor NHC updates, and I will post here on the blog, Facebook, and on X (twitter) over the weekend.
A broad area of low pressure will develop over the central Gulf as a frontal boundary drops south over the state of Florida. This will be a slow-moving front and will become nearly stationary, preventing any northward track of any system that develops in the Gulf. This stationary will induce an eastward track toward Florida, enhancing rains and storms across the northern Yucatan and Florida beginning Tuesday and Wednesday. This low could bring strong gusty winds over Florida as well, depending on the intensity and where this low tracks over.
RTW
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