..TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE OCT 5, 2024..

 

000
ABNT20 KNHC 050547
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on 
Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic 
Ocean.

Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that an area of low 
pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is broad and 
ill defined, but it is producing winds just below gale force.  
Development of this system is expected, and a tropical or 
subtropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or 
early next week while moving eastward or northeastward across the 
Gulf of Mexico.  Interests on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the 
Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas 
should monitor the progress of this system.  Regardless of tropical 
or subtropical development, locally heavy rains could occur over 
portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of 
Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.